Dangerous Climate Change: An update of the IPCC Reasons for Concern - J.B. Smith, M.D. Mastrandrea, 2009, Proceedings of The National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 106 (No. 4133-4137).
http://cdmc.epp.cmu.edu/docs/priv/153_Dangerous climate change_Smith_Mastrandrea.pdf
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Climate Decision Making Center 2009